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The Quaternary Times
Newsletter of the American Quaternary Association
Volume 29 Number 1 May 1999
News from the AMQUA Councilors
Report on: "Geomorphology and
Quaternary Science Beyond 2000"
Bob Anderson, Russ Graham and I very hastily organized in February (6 & 7) a NSF
workshop on the future directions for Quaternary Science and Geomorphology. This was
precipitated by the need to feed something quickly to the Board of Earth Sciences and
Resources (BESR) of the National Academy of Sciences chaired by Tom Jordan of MIT. BESR is
developing a 10-year plan on "Opportunities for research in the Earth Sciences"
to be completed by the end of 1999. This is independent of the GEO 2000 vision statement
that Bob Correll and Geoscience Directorate is shepherding through the community. The
report "A Vision for Geomorphology and Quaternary Science Beyond 2000" of the
workshop will be completed shortly. It will be forwarded to Tom Jordan and posted on the AMQUA web page.
Emi Ito
Geochronology, Geophysics, and Geochemistry Councilor
Quaternary Information Clearinghouse
As a Quaternary scientist with a web page that discusses Pleistocene environments
(more than 37,000 people have looked at my web page), I receive a steady stream of ice-age
questions from students, teachers, and the general public. Sometimes I have the answers
readily at hand, but other times I do not, especially when the question deals with a
specific region of North America or elsewhere in the world. It occurs to me that it would
be a useful outreach tool for AMQUA to develop a list of web sites and regional experts
who could field such questions from the general public. I floated this idea around the
AMQUA council via e-mail, and got a set of very positive responses. I am willing to
spearhead this initiative, but I will need some help with brainstorming a list of regional
experts to be contacted. We need to build a list of useful web sites and regional experts
on archaeology, glacial geology, paleoclimatology, terrestrial paleobiology, and
paleoceanography. Once the information is gathered, we could make a link from the AMQUA
home page, directing students (and others in the general public) to an ice-age reference
web page where they could track down answers to their questions. Once this is set up, then
AMQUA members who receive queries about Quaternary environments, flora, fauna, and
archaeology, could direct inquiries to this web page.
Please contact me directly (303-492-5158; saelias@colorado.edu) if you are interested in
participating in this initiative, either by serving as a regional expert, or by
contributing information on useful resources found on the worldwide web.
Scott Elias
Paleobiology Councilor
Abrupt Climate Change Research
With the growing awareness that the Earth's climate system can shift abruptly, without
warning, from one climate state to another, comes the need to develop the scientific
understanding necessary to anticipate "climate surprises" of the future, both
natural and human induced. The paleoclimate record makes it clear that abrupt climate
shifts of the 20th century are only a subset of possible surprise climate system behavior
that might occur, particularly with regard to ENSO, Asian-African monsoons, North Atlantic
climate change, and North American drought variability. Whereas a partial understanding of
abrupt climate change can be derived from the instrumental record and modeling studies,
only with a much improved paleoclimatic perspective can the full range of possible
seasonal to interdecadal climate variability and abrupt change be understood, and the
realism of predictive models be fully validated. Despite the abundance of abrupt climate
change theories, there remains a deficiency in the mechanistic understanding of abrupt
climate reorganizations in the past and the potential for future occurrences based on the
current climate system's internal variability coupled with external forcing factors such
as increasing global CO2 levels.
Paleoclimatologists have been aware for decades that the climate system is capable of
behavior quite unlike that of the present day. However, paleoclimatology has tended to
follow the lead of the climate dynamics community, and to pursue research primarily under
the assumption that the Earth's climate tends to change gradually in response to slowly
changing climate forcing. The first major revolution of modern paleoclimatology was the
establishment of a slowly changing Earth-Sun relationship as the pacemaker of the Ice Ages
(i.e., "Milankovitch Theory"). On the other end of the range of climate
variability, early successes with seasonal to interannual climate prediction benefitted
from a well-described stable mode of ENSO variability in the late 1980's.
Over the last 20 years, however, a new paradigm of climate variability has emerged. Abrupt
climate change now is recognized to be widespread throughout history and many different
variability states over all time scales of variability have been identified within the
climate system. Understanding only one variability state, or even a few, leaves climate
prediction efforts susceptible to unanticipated failures.
With the acknowledgement that the climate system can shift abruptly from one mode of
variability to another, and can do so on a variety of time scales, comes the questions:
How? And Why? Coupled models and process studies can be used to investigate the mechanisms
behind potential abrupt climatic change, but relevance to the real world cannot be assured
without the constraints of an observational record. The paleoclimatic record, which
includes time series of internal and external forcings, climate variability, and abrupt
change over the multiple centuries and millennia, represents the only observational record
long enough to provide these constraints. Without doubt, the climate system is not
stationary on time scales of decades and centuries and a predictive understanding of
climate variability can only follow from understanding the full range of climate
variability. Just as an understanding of climate variability and predictability cannot
come without an extensive array of instrumental observations, an understanding of the full
range of variability is impossible without an extended array of paleoclimatic observations
of past changes and external forcings.
One of the major uncertainties in global climate change relates to the mechanisms and
causes of abrupt climate change. Only when scientists understand the responses of the
climate system to the range of different climate forcing conditions as have occurred in
the past, and attribute responses to individual forcings, we will be able to predict
future climate change. We conclude that a new exciting paleoclimate research opportunity
is now evolving to focus the attention of the climate dynamics community on abrupt climate
change of "warm climates" like those of today and the future.
Jonathan Overpeck
and Robert Webb
Paleoclimatology Councilor
Conference Report: Canadian Archaeological Association
The 32nd Annual Canadian Archaeological Association Conference was held in Whitehorse,
Yukon, on April 28 - May 2, 1999. The conference featured a special symposium organized by
Catherine Carlson to honor the memory of Arne and Lesley (Mitchell) Carlson. There were a
variety of other topics discussed ranging from historical to Pleistocene archaeology. Of
particular interest was a symposium on Eastern Beringian Interdisciplinary Research: A
Consideration of Past and Present Trends and Issues from a Northern Yukon Perspective.
Much of this symposium focused on the Old Crow Area. Jaques Cinq-Mars gave an overview of
the research area and projects. John Matthews and Charlie Schweger talked about the rich
Tertiary records for plants, vertebrates and insects. Dick Harington reviewed the rich
Pleistocene vertebrate record from the area. An extremely detailed glacial map of the
northern Yukon was presented by A. Duk-Rodkin. Late Quaternary shorelines were discussed
by Tom Hamilton; while, C.A.S. Smith gave an interesting presentation on the multigenetic
origin of soils. Finally, Bernard Lauriol discussed geomorphological studies and cave
formation in the karst areas. It is clear that there is still a phenomenally rich
Quaternary record to be studied in this part of the world.
The timing of human entry into this area is still a point of debate. Jacque Cinq-Mars
argued that a vast amount of evidence for multiple human entries has been ignored because
of "guilt by association" when the "now infamous" caribou tibia
flesher was dated as late Holocene. Dick Morlan talked about the ca. 40,000 year old
fractured mammoth bones and indicated that they are unique to the stratigraphic section.
Clearly, these sites deserve more work. Finally, Don Clark essentially sank the British
Mountain component at Engigstaciak as a candidate for early people through a detailed
analysis of the artifacts and archival records.
There was a field trip on Sunday to a series of local archaeological sites. In all, it was
an outstanding meeting and great fun.
Russ Graham
AMQUA President
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